This substack post from the excellent Sam Freedman is a terrific analysis of why apparently good ideas in public policy, with widespread political and public support, can still fail to happen. If you are at all interested in government, you should read it.
As a member of the Moving Tribes gang, though, you will also be interested in retail and consumer businesses and how to lead them. (And if you aren’t a member of the MT gang, now is the time to grab a free subscription!)
It strikes me that there are some really strong analogies between the barriers to change that Freedman’s article describes for politicians and some of the things that stop consumer businesses changing. And that’s a big topic, because the last couple of decades are littered with examples of big retailers who resisted change right up to, and beyond, the point of bankruptcy. Just why businesses ‘choose’ to die rather than evolve is therefore a valuable topic for us to study.
Freedman lists three barriers to policy implementation, which I will crudely summarise as:
Spending rules - setting apparently arbitrary rules can stop sensible things happening - by fixating on increasing spending on the NHS, for example, we end up squeezing spending on local preventative healthcare which everyone agrees would be better value for money
Misdiagnosis - for example, the fact that targets (like A&E waiting times) get gamed can lead to calls for them to be scrapped, when in fact the presence of the targets is a powerful driver of change despite any gaming at the margin.
Fear of the electorate - e.g. council tax revaluation is agreed by everyone to be sensible and long overdue, but because there will be losers as well as winners no-one wants to do it.
Let’s take each of those three in turn and consider how they might be stopping your business from enacting critical, profitable and possibly business-saving changes programmes.
Spending rules - changing the financial lens
Consider a capex request for a new project. An obvious question for those holding the purse strings is ‘Will this pay back?’.
If the project is another instance of something you’ve done many times before (a new store, for example) then that’s a fairly easy question to answer. If, on the other hand, it is a genuine innovation then it is much harder. If we aren’t careful, our financial decision making systems will therefore bias us strongly towards continuing to do what we’ve already done, rather than encouraging innovation and change.
There is, helpfully, a simple flip to the financial evaluation that can help hugely. Instead of adopting the ‘financial guardian’ mindset, if we adopt the ‘venture capital investor’ mindset then we end up asking a different question. Instead of ‘Will this pay back?’, we ask “How much will it cost us to find out if this pays back?". A capital allocation system which takes this kind of risk/reward based approach is much more likely to result in real innovation.
Misdiagnosis - you get what you measure
Our businesses are filled with situations just like the A&E target one. In measuring customer outcomes or NPS, in paying commissions on sales, in running performance evaluation processes and setting pay rises. In all of these cases, there will be gaming of the rules somewhere at the margin.
My LinkedIn feed is awash, for example, with vendors of various customer experience measurement systems shouting about how, because NPS is often gaming by sales people, delivery drivers or service engineers trying to maximise their scores, it is therefore worthless and should be discarded immediately.
But that misses the critical point that implementing (and shouting loudly about) NPS has been associated with really positive changes in customer experience in many parts of many businesses. I can think of dozens of examples just in businesses I’ve worked with.
Why does that happen? Because frankly just the act of putting a target like NPS front and centre for the business changes what people pay attention to. It raises awareness of customer impacting issues and changes the vocabulary the business uses to evaluate its results.
In the end, despite any gaming at the edges, the whole operation is improved by more focus on what matters - how customers feel about the service they get.
Fear - the most powerful block to change
In both my books on retail and consumer business (Reinventing Retail and The Average is Always Wrong) I’ve ended up writing a lot about fear and how to overcome it. In the political sphere that might be fear of the electorate or of the press but in businesses facing existential challenges there are another list of things to be scared about.
Some of those are personal - business change can challenge the value of the experience of older and more senior executives, who might simply not know that much about new-fangled digital or social media technologies. That challenge is often the driver of passive resistance, a “not invented here” mentality or denial, and can be a huge blocker to change.
Others are institutional. Fear of shareholders, lenders and other financial stakeholders, for example, is often a reason why businesses are reluctant to admit to the need for change at all. Telling the people who’ve just spent 20 years funding the growth of your store estate that you don’t need all those stores any more is not easy.
Overcoming barriers and driving change
In conclusion, it is fair to say that driving change in a business is hard. Quite apart from any technological or regulatory barriers, we face much more basic challenges as the measurement systems, financial controls and business processes which have sustained our businesses in the ‘old world’ prove to be barriers to the change that is necessary to enter the new one.
And on top of that come the psychological barriers - fear of change, fear of failure and fear of losing status.
But the good news is that all of these are fixable. The starting point, for any business, is to embrace the realities of these barriers to change and make overcoming them an explicit part of the management conversation. Fear, in particular, does not thrive in sunshine and so part of our role as business leaders is to shine bright light onto fear of change (including, especially, that fear we feel ourselves) and create the conditions in our business that encourage risk-taking, innovation and the embracing of the new.
What do you think - what are the hidden or less obvious barriers to change you see in businesses around you?
Ian,
A terrific post for those of us who've spent time conceiving of and delivering change in retail. For what it's worth I've always felt that there are quite lot of us in the proposition development business who are also politics junkies - maybe your article explains why.
If I was picking one further barrier (amongst many) it would be the lack of people on retail boards who've "done" meaningful long term change. I suspect "fear" often comes from a lack of confidence that in turn comes from not having owned and driven disruptive proposition development. The one leader I have worked for who was consistently "brave" enough to drive a change agenda was Mark Price at Waitrose. It's no coincidence that he had previously been Development Director for JLP with a broad innovation brief (he also studied innovation under Costas Markides at LBS). Working in that environment it always felt that the boss was constantly clearing a path for my work - evening up the odds between the teams creating change and the rest (most) who were more wedded to the status quo.
My experience with Mark and many others continues to suggest that a life spent in risk averse functional roles safe with established processes and measures (esp Finance, Commercial and Operations) does not prepare you with the confidence needed to take a business in a direction for which the data does not already exist. This has become ever more true in a world with multiple platforms and as a result - ever more complex projects. Delivering this kind of change is way more challenging than running an established commercial or retail function.
I don't think in this context it's too controversial to suggest that if we want change driven by our leaders we might need to find a few more that have had some practice at it along the way.
I think reading your posts Ian makes me think about how many businesses and pension funds are prevaricating on messaging necessary changes to factor in climate change related costs and building in sustainability with this is in mind to their business models. Some form of adaptation, flexibility, contingency budgeting and spreading of risk to take into account the need to be climate and eco-system protective and climate resilient is needed. The alternative status quo is a recipe both for climate and financial disaster.. Better to evolve systems to a climate-sensitive future than to emergency asset -strip and play a mythical low-risk game no?